Nikola Tesla wrote “The Problem of Increasing Human
Energy” in 1900. For a book written over 100 years
ago it is amazing to see how far we have come from
what was projected by this brilliant man. Having read
the book three years prior to writing this foreword, I
have had some time to digest and think about the
subject. One thought I always have as a Tesla fan, is:
what would Tesla think about the progress we have
made? Would he be understanding of the rapid
progress in some fields, and the lack of progress or
even regression in other fields? How would he feel
about our current economic, political, and regulatory
systems? What would his stance on artificial
intelligence and industrial farming be? After all this
book was written at the tail end of free market
capitalism, hard money currency, and government had
not grown to regulate every facets of life. Please keep
these thoughts and questions in mind as you read this
book.
I believe that Tesla would be excited and anxious to
expand human knowledge even further if he were
around today. He was able to do extraordinary feats
100 years ago. Now he would be amazed at the
resources available, the lower cost of capital equipment
as compared to income, the increase in disposable
income, and the speed at which things can be taken
from idea to concept would greatly excite him as an
inventor. The ability to obtain and share knowledge
would probably be his favorite advantage of our
modern world, and he would be excited to see how
some of his ideas have come to fruition, while others
are quickly becoming a reality.
Mass and Energy
Today, energy has become abundant. The current
consumption is at its highest rate ever and the move to
“clean” energy is exponentially increasing. The
applications for clean energy will most likely expand the
overall energy extraction and utilization leaving us with
an ever increasing quality of life. Increasing human
energy will be greatly enhanced by increasing the
amount of horse-power each human commands. This
will allow each human to consequently increase their
creative output.
As humanity continues to increase human energy and
the living standard of every human, there will be an
increased consumption of energy. In the very short
term this will come largely from hydrocarbons, but as
the price performance of solar power becomes lower
than hydrocarbons, the switch to solar will increase
exponentially. Ray Kurzweil, an inventor and author
who is famous for projecting exponential curves and
predicting trends for technology based on those curves,
predicts that the price performance cross over, that is,
where solar panels will be cheaper than hydrocarbons,
will happen in 2017. More profoundly yet, he projects
the complete energy capture from solar panels
happening by 2030.
With that being said you may feel that the hydrocarbon
age has run its course. This could be a potential
outcome in the long term energy market, but as silicon
in computers is replaced by carbon as we will discuss
later, the best source of carbon will be the
hydrocarbons we burn for energy today. In fact rather
than extracting hydrocarbons to burn for thermal power
generation, we may extract them as an important
material feed stock and sources of carbon and
hydrogen.
Agriculture and Diet
Farming practices have changed greatly from the time
Tesla wrote How to Increase Human Energy in 1900.
We have gone from small family farms to large
industrial farms that need massive energy inputs, and
capital outlays to produce crops that are subsidized by
the government. Although my views on farming and
diet differ from Tesla's, I see our current agricultural
system as an area where great changes for good can
be made. I agree with Tesla that a move towards
vegetarianism is truly commendable, but in the
transition, raising animals in a more respectable
manner would be preferred. Using animals to restore
deserts into fertile ground would also create a more
prosperous and peaceful world.
Sustainable agriculture has the framework and
modeling to provide clean and abundant food on the
local level throughout the world. When married with
current technology and advancement in robotics this
will unleash an abundance of food that promotes the
local ecology and economy. Following the examples
set by the holistic management institute and farms like
Polyface, humanity can leap forward with clean and
abundant food.
It is not a well known fact that through the use of
herbivores like cattle and a system of intensive
rotational grazing, humanity can capture all of the
atmospheric carbon dioxide emitted since the industrial
revolution in a matter of 10 years. Allen Savory from
the Savory Institute gives a great TED talk on this
subject. The main points of his talk is that healing the
land through human-animal intervention and planning is
not only the best option but also the most practicable.
Intensive rotational grazing restores hydrology cycles,
builds humus in the soil, creates clean and safe food,
and reverses desertification. Desertification is after all
the leading cause of climate change, and a major
problem in the Middle East, African continent, and
western to mid western United States among many
other places throughout the world where row crops or
overgrazing is, or has in the past been implemented.
There are countless studies showing how land has
been healed in various regions by the Holistic
Management and planned grazing.
Intensive rotational grazing of herbivores also builds
soil through the deposition of carbonaceous material
that is stored in the top soil. This carbonaceous
material acts to hold moister and nutrients in the soil for
better plant growth. This is a truly catalytic system with
very positive feedback. As the soil builds, so does the
productivity, which increases the yield, and so on. As
all of the excess carbon is captured from the
atmosphere in this manner, we may actually have a
scarcity of atmospheric carbon dioxide! After all, if
every cow in the United States were raised in intensive
rotational grazing it would sequester all of the carbon
dioxide emitted since the industrial revolution in
approximately 10 years!
This process of intensive rotational grazing works
because you limit the herbivores exposure to the grass,
and manage the duration and timing of the grazing. As
the grass grows above ground the root system grows
below. There is nearly an equivalent amount of mass
underground as above. When the herbivores eat the
grass, the grass responds by taking the stored energy
from the roots to create new greens to restart the solar
collection. This initial growth kills parts of the roots
which decay slowly below surface and become a
carbon source. Along with this carbonaceous deposit
the herbivores secrete urine and feces which fertilize
the soil.
Once on a paddock for a day, the herbivores are moved
to a new neighboring paddock where the grass has
been allowed to grow back and the roots have
recovered. They will not see the paddock they just
grazed until it has rebounded from this grazing which is
typically 30 days. This movement increases the forage
per acre by 400-500 percent. It builds soil at a rate of
approximately 1/10” per year, sequesters carbon
dioxide, and removes the herbivores from the
pathogens in their excretions for 30 days. Not to
mention the health effects from eating grass fed
herbivores, which do not need antibiotics to keep them
alive, and contain fats that are higher in the healthy
fatty acids.
There are three ways to build wealth in a society.
Those three methods are farming, manufacturing, and
mining/extraction. Fundamentally these are all
methods which create. They are also methods which
increase human energy. The models developed by
sustainable agriculture are beautiful for their pure
simplicity. Just take land, sun, water, and well
managed herbivores and watch the grass begin to
grow. Grass is a very robust feed stock. It is much
more resilient than corn or soybeans. It is especially
great because cows are evolved to digest grass. Cows
are however not evolved to digest corn, soy, cow
products, chicken manure, etc. The yield of land as
measured in cow days per acre has been taken up to
200-400 in areas practicing intensive rotational grazing.
This is on parity with the most productive corn fields,
but because it lacks the intensive inputs of a corn field,
the overall productivity and increase in human energy
is much greater. This is comparable to what Tesla says
about iron used for war apparatus versus using iron for
peaceful purposes which increase human energy.
Farming is one way to build something from nothing.
This is why it is one of the three methods of building
wealth. When we can take a vacant piece of land and
make it productive with minimal human effort it will not
only enhance our human energy and economy, but the
land will also yield more for the wild animals foraging
the grasslands. It was noted by Joel Salatin that when
Europeans arrived in America there were more pounds
of animal protein on the continent than today. He then
goes on to point out the fallacy with this. That is we
have created an advanced, sophisticated, complex,
and expensive system which cannot keep up with the
productivity that was nurtured by natives of this
continent.
It will be an uphill battle as our current industrial food
system is entrenched with government subsidies and
regulations in favor of large farming interests, but
overall economics, moral fortitude, and freedom will
prevail. Practitioners like Joel Salatin do quite well
financially in their sustainable farming businesses and
this is going to be a rapidly growing portion of the
agricultural industry as consumers become more
informed.
The looming robotics revolution is also going to take
much of the labor out of sustainable farming. Right
now, the labor component is what keeps many people
out of this. The nice marriage of robotics could make
the capital costs much lower, while also reducing the
yearly labor costs or inputs.
If this intensive rotational grazing system were
implemented on a scale which sequestered a large
portion of the atmospheric carbon dioxide, then the
best source for this carbon dioxide might be a dual
cycle power plant with co-generation using the waste
heat for useful purposes like green houses in northern
climates. By running the fuel through a Brayton cycle
then using the heat exhaust to heat a boiler in a steam
cycle power plant (Rankine cycle), operators have been
able to achieve over 60 percent thermal efficiency.
With the abundance of natural gas this would be a
viable option for many years. Natural gas has always
been the best thermal power generating medium for
“buffer power”. As the transition to solar gains traction
places without the steady stream of sunlight would be
able to buffer their power demand until better energy
storage or solar capture is feasible. Ultimately the best
solar collectors will be in space with no obstruction and
beam the energy down to the earth. This will be a big
step toward humanity becoming a class 1 level of
civilization, that is, using and storing all of the energy
coming from our sun.
Automation and Robotics
Tesla hits on a great point with automaton. This is the
thought that has been most inspirational for me over
the years after initially reading this book. Imagine if you
will, that you own quite a bit of machinery. Is that
machinery of great advantage to you if it sits idly
collecting rust? Or would that machinery be a greater
purpose to you and society if it steadily hummed away
creating articles that benefited other people? I choose
the latter, and firmly believe that a robotic revolution is
needed to increase overall productivity of humanity and
our capital tools. Now I am not talking about artificial
general intelligence that most now associate with
robotics, but with worker bee robots with low level
artificial intelligence that can be programmed easily and
go out to perform tasks for the human users. Since
these could be designed to run around the clock, they
could be scaled down in size, and thus use a lower
amount of energy. Having many of these robots
performing useful wishes will multiply our output and
increase overall human energy.
As automation takes over where most people enjoyed
gainful employment, this will raise a question for some
of, what do I do with all of the newly created idle time.
As someone who enjoys reading books, working out,
and socializing I have no personal concerns about this,
but it is a valid question that will need to be answered
by most people alive today. I feel that the answer to
this increase in idle time will be to play. Play is the best
form of learning, and we will have to find the best
methods of teaching and learning moving forward. The
acceleration of change is already hard to keep pace
with, and as this continues to accelerate, it will
continually get harder to keep up unless aided by new
technologies and ways of thinking.
Capital and Economics
Capital sharing and renting is not altogether new, but it
is becoming easier with the internet. Uber offers a
great platform for the renting of capital equipment.
Imagine that we have self driving cars mixed with the
Uber application, which is ultimately a goal of Uber.
You can now summon a car, and basically rent the car
for just the services you need rendered. Once we have
self driving cars, capitalists will be able to buy and
maintain a fleet of cars which can then be rented out.
These cars would have all of the software needed to
track maintenance, logistics, and virtually make money
automatically. In a no brain-er situation like this,
wouldn't we all want to get into this market? If we think
of a car as a piece of capital equipment, we can now
see that this system will not just work for cars, but for
other tools. Tractors, trucks, bulldozers, excavators,
CNC machines are all just a few examples of
expensive machinery that more than likely sits idle 30-
50% of their lives. By increasing the utilization of this
machinery by just 10% in a productive direction,
imagine the step change in the way we live.
Capitalism is the allocation of scarce resources. As
resources become less scarce and abundance is
realized through the institution of robotics that produce
surplus goods, the economic system can evolve into
something that may resemble socialism. Things are
already tending in this direction as technological
changes are starting to make abundance a very real
thing.
Automation and robotics will not be a detractor to
society as people who fear the loss of jobs may attest,
but rather an enormous productivity increase. They will
greatly allow for the increase in human energy, as
humans can focus on higher and higher value
processes while allowing automation and robotics to
take care of the menial day to day tasks. Every person
will be able to lead a richer and more fulfilled life
without the effort that is required today. Tesla's talk of
Tel automation really drives this home. After reading
this book it inspired my current aspirations of having
micro-controlled robotics for day to day tasks.
Artificial intelligence is a highly debated subject today.
Whether you are for or against, the state of things is
that it is already here. Although the current level of
artificial intelligence is considered low level, it can be
harnessed to greatly enhance the productivity of
humanity while reducing the overall effort. This acts to
greatly reduce the force retarding humanity by aiding it
with the simple tasks. The level of artificial intelligence
we currently have is very safe, but still has enormous
potential to be distributed into various industries.
Speech recognition, algorithm solvers, and chat bots all
use low level artificial intelligence to process their
tasks. There is quite a bit of progress before we get to
anything resembling apocalyptic Hollywood plots. I
agree with Peter Thiel that we can continue the
development of the low level AI for now to enhance our
lives. In 5-10 years when on the brink of artificial
general intelligence more thought will need to go into
the harnessing of such a force as Nick Bolstromm talks
about in the book “Super intelligence”.
Technological Development
Awash with information from the advancement of the
information economy, the transition to the knowledge
economy is well under way. A world where people can
share their peak knowledge spike with all of humanity is
ever easier and easier as this knowledge is shared via
the internet. Virtual reality will supersede video as
video has largely superseded text and audio, and the
ease at which we share information along with the
quality of that information will both be increased.
The maker revolution can be thought of as the shift
from the information age into that of the knowledge
age. Awash with information people have been able to
make better life decisions and live to a much higher
standard, awash with knowledge we will be able to
make physical objects and take life to an almost
unimaginable standard. Right now the rich poor divide
on a global level is sickening, but the greatest hope for
helping the poor throughout the world is going to come
from greater technological reach. Moving bits of
information is easier than moving material feed stock
around the world, and is much easier than moving
finished objects, and as the technology improves,
printing things like solar panels from desert sand could
become a reality.
Additive manufacturing or 3d printing has taken off
literally in the last decade. Literally, because people
are printing quad copters, attaching motors and
electronics, and flying them around. How 3D printing
will change the market place is largely speculated right
now, but the results will eventually be the ability for the
consumer to purchase or download a public domain
plan for a part, or even an article of clothing in the
future, customize it, and then print it out in the comfort
of their home. Because this would only entail the
movement of information and raw materials throughout
the economy, shipping costs will fall drastically.
Graphene by far has the greatest potential to be a life
changing material. Being 200 times stronger than steel
per unit weight, it will greatly change lives when
introduced on the macro scale. While the focus right
now is to study its application on the micro or nano
scale and replacing the silicone found in modern
electronics, by scaling up it is easy to see how it could
benefit larger structures. Imagine skyscrapers and
stacked farming to enhance solar collection. This
would revolutionize quality of life. Transportation with
this lightweight material would be revolutionized and
would most likely take the form of air travel as Nikola
asserted for the advancement of aluminum. Once the
fabrication is figured out, 3d printing structures with a
graphene skeleton would be capable of yielding
extremely strong but complex parts only imaginable
today. This technology will drop the costs of capital
equipment even further allowing more of the world
population to create and innovate.
Although an entire book could be written to speculate
on the advancements that graphene will bring to
society, it is fun to imagine a few of the radically
different ideas, and how they would greatly change our
lives and the world around us. Spires to space made of
graphene and connected with networks of tunnels will
open space to more people and ideas. These spires
will allow launching space vessels, satellites, and
space based solar panels. The spires could also
implement Tesla's idea of hydroelectricity and
electrolysis since this takes a great deal of height
before the turbine would create more power than the
electrolysis would require. The spires to space could
be placed in ocean centers along the equatorial plane.
Barren lands could be restored to grasslands using the
intensive rotational grazing discussed earlier, and the
entire bounty of the earth would increase with the
harnessing of more energy from the sun.
Because graphene can be doped, transistors are
feasible, and the conductivity and thermal dissipation of
graphene are some the materials impressive qualities.
This will allow for the building of ultra fast processors
that will revolutionize computing and will have a much
lower power requirement.
Once large sheets of graphene are easily
manufactured they will make an ideal base for flexible
solar panels since graphene can be doped. At this
point, if solar has not already displaced hydrocarbons
as the main energy source, graphene solar panels will
accelerate this! Not only will graphene revolutionize
solar energy capture, but the implications for energy
storage with graphene are just as promising. Through
the use of graphene capacitors, electrical energy will
quickly be stored, and then can be trickled out much
like batteries. These graphene capacitors will quickly
displace batteries and other energy storage devices
such as hydroelectricity or fuel cells.
As the graphene future is realized, the need for carbon
will increase rapidly. Coming up with the carbon for
this graphene, we will start by using hydrocarbons like
methane, which is the primary constituent of distribution
grade natural gas. Chemical vapor deposition is the
main way of forming laboratory graphene crystals, and
in the future hopefully this is replaced by a method with
more precision and scale ability.


